Kerr County

Texas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

77.2

National percentile: 77th

Kerr County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 77.2, 77th national percentile), driven primarily by lightning and winter weather exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $25M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $25M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 53K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Lightning
High $784K/yr
Winter Weather
High $239K/yr
Riverine Flood
Medium $18M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Lightning High 44.87 / yr $784K
Winter Weather High 4.00 / yr $239K
Riverine Flood Medium 2.75 / yr $18M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $450K
Hail Medium 2.83 / yr $647K
Tornado Medium 0.23 / yr $3M
Drought Medium 137.65 / yr $532K
Heat Wave Low 3.89 / yr $548K
Landslide Low 0.39 / yr $3K
Strong Wind Medium 0.67 / yr $551K
Hurricane Low 0.02 / yr $171K
Cold Wave Low 0.63 / yr $791K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $13K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.05 / yr $3K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Kerr County?

Kerr County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 77.2 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 77th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Kerr County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Lightning (High, $784K EAL), Winter Weather (High, $239K EAL), Riverine Flood (Medium, $18M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Kerr County compare to other Texas counties?

Kerr County ranks #62 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Kerr County's $25M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.