McMullen County

Texas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

0.6

National percentile: 1th

McMullen County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 0.6, 1th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and drought exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $875K.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $875K Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 600 Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Hurricane
Very Low $116K/yr
Drought
Low $56K/yr
Wildfire
Very Low $12K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hurricane Very Low 0.07 / yr $116K
Drought Low 79.81 / yr $56K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $12K
Cold Wave Very Low 1.89 / yr $168K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.16 / yr $6K
Hail Very Low 1.38 / yr $36K
Heat Wave Very Low 8.63 / yr $17K
Tornado Very Low 0.32 / yr $49K
Landslide Very Low 0.10 / yr $4
Strong Wind Very Low 0.64 / yr $12K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.89 / yr $396K
Winter Weather Very Low 0.84 / yr $424
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $1K
Lightning Very Low 41.24 / yr $4K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for McMullen County?

McMullen County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 0.6 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 1th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in McMullen County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Very Low, $116K EAL), Drought (Low, $56K EAL), Wildfire (Very Low, $12K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does McMullen County compare to other Texas counties?

McMullen County ranks #251 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. McMullen County's $875K EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.