Mitchell County

Texas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

19.8

National percentile: 20th

Mitchell County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 19.8, 20th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $6M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $6M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 9K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Drought
Medium $1M/yr
Wildfire
Low $508K/yr
Hail
Medium $595K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought Medium 63.10 / yr $1M
Wildfire Low 0.01 / yr $508K
Hail Medium 4.65 / yr $595K
Strong Wind Medium 1.83 / yr $777K
Winter Weather Low 5.95 / yr $60K
Tornado Low 0.54 / yr $547K
Heat Wave Very Low 6.68 / yr $114K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $7K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.58 / yr $200K
Lightning Very Low 48.74 / yr $57K
Riverine Flood Very Low 1.64 / yr $2M
Ice Storm Very Low 0.20 / yr $7K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $9K
Landslide Very Low 0.11 / yr $7
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Mitchell County?

Mitchell County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 19.8 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 20th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Mitchell County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (Medium, $1M EAL), Wildfire (Low, $508K EAL), Hail (Medium, $595K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Mitchell County compare to other Texas counties?

Mitchell County ranks #194 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Mitchell County's $6M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.