Navarro County

Texas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

75.3

National percentile: 75th

Navarro County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 75.3, 75th national percentile), driven primarily by tornado and strong wind exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $27M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $27M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 53K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Tornado
High $8M/yr
Strong Wind
High $1M/yr
Heat Wave
Medium $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Tornado High 0.85 / yr $8M
Strong Wind High 3.23 / yr $1M
Heat Wave Medium 15.84 / yr $2M
Cold Wave Medium 0.63 / yr $3M
Hail Medium 5.83 / yr $801K
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $400K
Lightning Medium 54.86 / yr $561K
Ice Storm Medium 0.92 / yr $296K
Riverine Flood Low 2.07 / yr $9M
Hurricane Low 0.02 / yr $183K
Drought Low 27.91 / yr $181K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $185K
Winter Weather Low 3.16 / yr $44K
Landslide Very Low 0.12 / yr $117
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Navarro County?

Navarro County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 75.3 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 75th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Navarro County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Tornado (High, $8M EAL), Strong Wind (High, $1M EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Navarro County compare to other Texas counties?

Navarro County ranks #68 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Navarro County's $27M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.