Newton County
Texas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
Very LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 27th
Newton County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 27.2, 27th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $5M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Hurricane | Medium | 0.11 / yr | $2M |
| Wildfire | Low | 0.00 / yr | $160K |
| Lightning | Medium | 76.61 / yr | $277K |
| Ice Storm | Medium | 0.67 / yr | $97K |
| Heat Wave | Low | 10.80 / yr | $207K |
| Tornado | Low | 0.69 / yr | $657K |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.01 / yr | $8K |
| Drought | Very Low | 26.41 / yr | $16K |
| Riverine Flood | Very Low | 0.82 / yr | $2M |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $32K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 0.20 / yr | $128 |
| Winter Weather | Very Low | 1.61 / yr | $13K |
| Hail | Very Low | 2.04 / yr | $53K |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | 1.03 / yr | $134K |
| Strong Wind | Low | 1.17 / yr | $106K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Newton County?
Newton County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 27.2 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 27th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Newton County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Medium, $2M EAL), Wildfire (Low, $160K EAL), Lightning (Medium, $277K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Newton County compare to other Texas counties?
Newton County ranks #177 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Newton County's $5M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.