Nueces County

Texas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

High

Composite Risk Score

96.6

National percentile: 97th

Nueces County faces high composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 96.6, 97th national percentile), driven primarily by cold wave and hurricane exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $186M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $186M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 353K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Cold Wave
Very High $25M/yr
Hurricane
Very High $83M/yr
Drought
High $4M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Cold Wave Very High 2.40 / yr $25M
Hurricane Very High 0.14 / yr $83M
Drought High 59.60 / yr $4M
Heat Wave High 16.71 / yr $11M
Tornado High 0.37 / yr $12M
Lightning High 44.01 / yr $1M
Strong Wind High 0.74 / yr $2M
Riverine Flood High 4.43 / yr $44M
Hail Medium 0.89 / yr $2M
Winter Weather Medium 0.86 / yr $185K
Ice Storm Medium 0.30 / yr $350K
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $182K
Coastal Flood Medium 3.69 / yr $1M
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $174K
Landslide Very Low 0.08 / yr $743
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Nueces County?

Nueces County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 96.6 out of 100, placing it in the High category and the 97th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Nueces County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Cold Wave (Very High, $25M EAL), Hurricane (Very High, $83M EAL), Drought (High, $4M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Nueces County compare to other Texas counties?

Nueces County ranks #11 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a high rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Nueces County's $186M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.