Orange County

Texas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

85.9

National percentile: 86th

Orange County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 85.9, 86th national percentile), driven primarily by lightning and hurricane exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $54M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $54M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 85K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Lightning
High $2M/yr
Hurricane
High $21M/yr
Wildfire
Medium $1M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Lightning High 80.47 / yr $2M
Hurricane High 0.15 / yr $21M
Wildfire Medium 0.01 / yr $1M
Tornado Medium 0.26 / yr $6M
Ice Storm High 0.50 / yr $752K
Coastal Flood Medium 3.69 / yr $2M
Riverine Flood Medium 2.36 / yr $17M
Heat Wave Low 10.30 / yr $1M
Cold Wave Medium 0.95 / yr $2M
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $198K
Drought Low 21.16 / yr $81K
Strong Wind Low 0.61 / yr $408K
Winter Weather Low 0.89 / yr $43K
Hail Very Low 1.51 / yr $92K
Landslide Very Low 0.03 / yr $15
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Orange County?

Orange County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 85.9 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 86th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Orange County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Lightning (High, $2M EAL), Hurricane (High, $21M EAL), Wildfire (Medium, $1M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Orange County compare to other Texas counties?

Orange County ranks #32 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Orange County's $54M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.