Zapata County

Texas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

31.4

National percentile: 31th

Zapata County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 31.4, 31th national percentile), driven primarily by cold wave and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $6M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $6M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 14K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Cold Wave
High $4M/yr
Wildfire
Low $99K/yr
Hurricane
Low $212K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Cold Wave High 2.21 / yr $4M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $99K
Hurricane Low 0.07 / yr $212K
Heat Wave Low 4.95 / yr $138K
Hail Low 0.55 / yr $88K
Drought Low 79.45 / yr $19K
Riverine Flood Very Low 1.14 / yr $1M
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $13K
Winter Weather Very Low 0.68 / yr $7K
Tornado Very Low 0.05 / yr $75K
Landslide Very Low 0.09 / yr $30
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr $2K
Lightning Very Low 34.57 / yr $9K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.27 / yr $17K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Zapata County?

Zapata County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 31.4 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 31th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Zapata County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Cold Wave (High, $4M EAL), Wildfire (Low, $99K EAL), Hurricane (Low, $212K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Zapata County compare to other Texas counties?

Zapata County ranks #166 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Zapata County's $6M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.