Zavala County

Texas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

53.6

National percentile: 54th

Zavala County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 53.6, 54th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $10M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $10M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 10K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Drought
High $1M/yr
Heat Wave
Low $703K/yr
Riverine Flood
Low $6M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought High 123.96 / yr $1M
Heat Wave Low 7.05 / yr $703K
Riverine Flood Low 1.61 / yr $6M
Hurricane Low 0.03 / yr $120K
Cold Wave Low 0.37 / yr $684K
Hail Low 1.24 / yr $113K
Lightning Low 36.80 / yr $82K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $11K
Tornado Low 0.15 / yr $262K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.07 / yr $10K
Winter Weather Very Low 1.00 / yr $7K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.35 / yr $35K
Landslide Very Low 0.11 / yr $11
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $4K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Zavala County?

Zavala County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 53.6 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 54th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Zavala County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (High, $1M EAL), Heat Wave (Low, $703K EAL), Riverine Flood (Low, $6M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Zavala County compare to other Texas counties?

Zavala County ranks #130 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Zavala County's $10M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.