Duchesne County

Utah — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

7.6

National percentile: 8th

Duchesne County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 7.6, 8th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and lightning exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $5M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $5M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 20K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
Medium $75K/yr
Lightning
High $1M/yr
Wildfire
Low $577K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Medium 2.88 / yr $75K
Lightning High 48.91 / yr $1M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $577K
Avalanche Low 0.30 / yr $18K
Earthquake Low 0.01 / yr $621K
Drought Low 97.27 / yr $193K
Winter Weather Low 28.96 / yr $86K
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $2
Heat Wave Very Low 0.45 / yr $93K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.68 / yr $3M
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr $6K
Tornado Very Low 0.11 / yr $47K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.27 / yr $60K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.04 / yr $36K
Hail Very Low 0.17 / yr $14K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Duchesne County?

Duchesne County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 7.6 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 8th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Duchesne County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Medium, $75K EAL), Lightning (High, $1M EAL), Wildfire (Low, $577K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Duchesne County compare to other Utah counties?

Duchesne County ranks #22 of 29 Utah counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Duchesne County's $5M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.