Grand County

Utah — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

10.3

National percentile: 10th

Grand County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 10.3, 10th national percentile), driven primarily by lightning and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $5M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $5M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 10K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Lightning
High $1M/yr
Landslide
Low $24K/yr
Avalanche
Medium $457K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Lightning High 48.27 / yr $1M
Landslide Low 2.44 / yr $24K
Avalanche Medium 0.03 / yr $457K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $81K
Drought Low 105.12 / yr $62K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $101K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.87 / yr $161K
Winter Weather Low 10.14 / yr $25K
Riverine Flood Very Low 2.54 / yr $3M
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr $3K
Tornado Very Low 0.12 / yr $20K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.19 / yr $23K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.02 / yr $511
Hail Very Low 0.10 / yr $4K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Grand County?

Grand County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 10.3 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 10th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Grand County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Lightning (High, $1M EAL), Landslide (Low, $24K EAL), Avalanche (Medium, $457K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Grand County compare to other Utah counties?

Grand County ranks #20 of 29 Utah counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Grand County's $5M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.