Mecklenburg County

Virginia — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

54.3

National percentile: 54th

Mecklenburg County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 54.3, 54th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and hurricane exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $13M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $13M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 30K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Drought
High $2M/yr
Hurricane
Medium $3M/yr
Earthquake
Low $435K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought High 10.32 / yr $2M
Hurricane Medium 0.14 / yr $3M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $435K
Winter Weather Low 4.95 / yr $62K
Riverine Flood Low 0.82 / yr $6M
Heat Wave Low 4.16 / yr $292K
Ice Storm Low 1.38 / yr $59K
Hail Low 3.18 / yr $156K
Lightning Low 44.88 / yr $119K
Landslide Very Low 0.43 / yr $455
Tornado Low 0.27 / yr $458K
Cold Wave Low 0.53 / yr $349K
Strong Wind Low 1.35 / yr $182K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $7K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Mecklenburg County?

Mecklenburg County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 54.3 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 54th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Mecklenburg County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (High, $2M EAL), Hurricane (Medium, $3M EAL), Earthquake (Low, $435K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Mecklenburg County compare to other Virginia counties?

Mecklenburg County ranks #28 of 133 Virginia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Mecklenburg County's $13M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.