Roanoke City

Virginia — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

72.9

National percentile: 73th

Roanoke City faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 72.9, 73th national percentile), driven primarily by strong wind and riverine flood exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $25M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $25M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 100K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Strong Wind
High $1M/yr
Riverine Flood
Medium $19M/yr
Lightning
Medium $591K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Strong Wind High 3.38 / yr $1M
Riverine Flood Medium 1.64 / yr $19M
Lightning Medium 44.11 / yr $591K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $872K
Hurricane Low 0.05 / yr $727K
Winter Weather Medium 9.53 / yr $120K
Landslide Very Low 0.06 / yr $2K
Cold Wave Low 2.89 / yr $1M
Hail Low 4.13 / yr $182K
Ice Storm Low 0.55 / yr $35K
Tornado Low 0.01 / yr $475K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.53 / yr $106K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $22
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $2K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 2.06 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Roanoke City?

Roanoke City has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 72.9 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 73th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Roanoke City?

The three highest-rated hazards are Strong Wind (High, $1M EAL), Riverine Flood (Medium, $19M EAL), Lightning (Medium, $591K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Roanoke City compare to other Virginia counties?

Roanoke City ranks #13 of 133 Virginia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Roanoke City's $25M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.