Spotsylvania County

Virginia — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

52.9

National percentile: 53th

Spotsylvania County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 52.9, 53th national percentile), driven primarily by lightning and strong wind exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $25M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $25M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 140K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Lightning
Medium $933K/yr
Strong Wind
Medium $2M/yr
Earthquake
Low $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Lightning Medium 39.90 / yr $933K
Strong Wind Medium 4.97 / yr $2M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $2M
Heat Wave Low 5.91 / yr $2M
Hurricane Low 0.08 / yr $1M
Riverine Flood Low 1.46 / yr $16M
Winter Weather Low 7.32 / yr $117K
Hail Low 3.46 / yr $438K
Drought Low 3.53 / yr $160K
Tornado Low 0.27 / yr $2M
Ice Storm Low 0.46 / yr $70K
Landslide Very Low 0.29 / yr $812
Coastal Flood Very Low 3.76 / yr $91
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $9K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.94 / yr $51K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Spotsylvania County?

Spotsylvania County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 52.9 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 53th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Spotsylvania County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Lightning (Medium, $933K EAL), Strong Wind (Medium, $2M EAL), Earthquake (Low, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Spotsylvania County compare to other Virginia counties?

Spotsylvania County ranks #32 of 133 Virginia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Spotsylvania County's $25M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.