Lake County
Illinois — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
HighComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 96th
Lake County faces high composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 96.0, 96th national percentile), driven primarily by cold wave and tornado exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $266M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Cold Wave | Very High | 4.57 / yr | $43M |
| Tornado | Very High | 0.67 / yr | $47M |
| Strong Wind | Very High | 5.47 / yr | $8M |
| Riverine Flood | High | 2.00 / yr | $155M |
| Lightning | High | 36.72 / yr | $2M |
| Heat Wave | Medium | 2.50 / yr | $5M |
| Hail | Medium | 4.06 / yr | $2M |
| Earthquake | Low | 0.00 / yr | $4M |
| Ice Storm | Medium | 0.46 / yr | $196K |
| Winter Weather | Medium | 15.56 / yr | $125K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 0.10 / yr | $1K |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $44K |
| Drought | Low | 7.15 / yr | $91K |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.01 / yr | $6K |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.01 / yr | $7K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Lake County?
Lake County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 96.0 out of 100, placing it in the High category and the 96th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Lake County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Cold Wave (Very High, $43M EAL), Tornado (Very High, $47M EAL), Strong Wind (Very High, $8M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Lake County compare to other Illinois counties?
Lake County ranks #4 of 102 Illinois counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a high rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Lake County's $266M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.