Lawrence County

Illinois — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

49.2

National percentile: 49th

Lawrence County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 49.2, 49th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and earthquake exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $14M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $14M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 15K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Drought
Medium $1M/yr
Earthquake
Low $3M/yr
Riverine Flood
Low $7M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought Medium 4.48 / yr $1M
Earthquake Low 0.01 / yr $3M
Riverine Flood Low 1.32 / yr $7M
Heat Wave Low 8.00 / yr $451K
Winter Weather Low 6.53 / yr $54K
Tornado Low 0.25 / yr $937K
Landslide Very Low 0.16 / yr $842
Strong Wind Low 4.13 / yr $412K
Cold Wave Low 1.37 / yr $486K
Ice Storm Low 0.44 / yr $38K
Hail Very Low 2.84 / yr $115K
Lightning Low 51.20 / yr $92K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $6K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $199
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Lawrence County?

Lawrence County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 49.2 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 49th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Lawrence County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (Medium, $1M EAL), Earthquake (Low, $3M EAL), Riverine Flood (Low, $7M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Lawrence County compare to other Illinois counties?

Lawrence County ranks #59 of 102 Illinois counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Lawrence County's $14M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.