Johnson County

Illinois — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

51.1

National percentile: 51th

Johnson County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 51.1, 51th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $12M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $12M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 13K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Earthquake
Medium $4M/yr
Heat Wave
Low $623K/yr
Strong Wind
Medium $676K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Earthquake Medium 0.01 / yr $4M
Heat Wave Low 10.47 / yr $623K
Strong Wind Medium 4.04 / yr $676K
Ice Storm Medium 0.91 / yr $145K
Hail Low 3.20 / yr $346K
Winter Weather Medium 7.47 / yr $76K
Cold Wave Low 1.11 / yr $1M
Tornado Low 0.30 / yr $1M
Drought Low 4.02 / yr $125K
Landslide Very Low 0.82 / yr $636
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $19K
Riverine Flood Low 0.82 / yr $3M
Lightning Low 55.10 / yr $91K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $3K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Johnson County?

Johnson County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 51.1 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 51th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Johnson County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (Medium, $4M EAL), Heat Wave (Low, $623K EAL), Strong Wind (Medium, $676K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Johnson County compare to other Illinois counties?

Johnson County ranks #58 of 102 Illinois counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Johnson County's $12M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.