Otter Tail County

Minnesota — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

79.4

National percentile: 79th

Otter Tail County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 79.4, 79th national percentile), driven primarily by winter weather and cold wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $38M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $38M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 60K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Winter Weather
Very High $1M/yr
Cold Wave
High $7M/yr
Strong Wind
High $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Winter Weather Very High 20.43 / yr $1M
Cold Wave High 15.13 / yr $7M
Strong Wind High 2.47 / yr $2M
Tornado Medium 1.31 / yr $5M
Riverine Flood Medium 1.32 / yr $21M
Landslide Low 0.56 / yr $19K
Hail Medium 3.76 / yr $887K
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $349K
Drought Low 2.27 / yr $165K
Lightning Low 30.86 / yr $208K
Heat Wave Low 1.27 / yr $236K
Ice Storm Low 0.08 / yr $48K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $24K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Otter Tail County?

Otter Tail County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 79.4 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 79th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Otter Tail County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Winter Weather (Very High, $1M EAL), Cold Wave (High, $7M EAL), Strong Wind (High, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Otter Tail County compare to other Minnesota counties?

Otter Tail County ranks #9 of 87 Minnesota counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Otter Tail County's $38M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.