Butler County
Missouri — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
MediumComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 83th
Butler County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 83.1, 83th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $46M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Earthquake | Medium | 0.01 / yr | $13M |
| Heat Wave | Medium | 11.63 / yr | $4M |
| Ice Storm | High | 1.26 / yr | $987K |
| Tornado | Medium | 0.52 / yr | $7M |
| Winter Weather | Medium | 7.00 / yr | $227K |
| Strong Wind | Medium | 2.40 / yr | $1M |
| Riverine Flood | Medium | 3.57 / yr | $17M |
| Landslide | Low | 0.87 / yr | $10K |
| Lightning | Medium | 57.58 / yr | $368K |
| Cold Wave | Low | 1.05 / yr | $1M |
| Drought | Low | 6.50 / yr | $176K |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.02 / yr | $38K |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $23K |
| Hail | Very Low | 3.09 / yr | $124K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Butler County?
Butler County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 83.1 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 83th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Butler County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (Medium, $13M EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $4M EAL), Ice Storm (High, $987K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Butler County compare to other Missouri counties?
Butler County ranks #14 of 115 Missouri counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Butler County's $46M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.