Scott County

Missouri — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

80.1

National percentile: 80th

Scott County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 80.1, 80th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and ice storm exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $37M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $37M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 38K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Earthquake
Medium $18M/yr
Ice Storm
High $1M/yr
Tornado
Medium $6M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Earthquake Medium 0.01 / yr $18M
Ice Storm High 1.38 / yr $1M
Tornado Medium 0.37 / yr $6M
Strong Wind High 3.65 / yr $2M
Heat Wave Medium 11.26 / yr $2M
Winter Weather Medium 6.89 / yr $200K
Drought Medium 5.33 / yr $592K
Cold Wave Medium 1.11 / yr $2M
Lightning Medium 56.77 / yr $318K
Hail Low 3.22 / yr $294K
Landslide Very Low 0.44 / yr $2K
Riverine Flood Low 2.50 / yr $6M
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $26K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $3K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Scott County?

Scott County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 80.1 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 80th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Scott County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (Medium, $18M EAL), Ice Storm (High, $1M EAL), Tornado (Medium, $6M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Scott County compare to other Missouri counties?

Scott County ranks #16 of 115 Missouri counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Scott County's $37M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.