Lake County

Montana — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

67.7

National percentile: 68th

Lake County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 67.7, 68th national percentile), driven primarily by winter weather and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $23M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $23M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 31K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Winter Weather
High $532K/yr
Wildfire
Medium $2M/yr
Earthquake
Medium $7M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Winter Weather High 43.84 / yr $532K
Wildfire Medium 0.00 / yr $2M
Earthquake Medium 0.03 / yr $7M
Avalanche High 0.23 / yr $2M
Landslide Medium 1.40 / yr $53K
Cold Wave Medium 4.49 / yr $5M
Ice Storm Medium 0.10 / yr $220K
Riverine Flood Low 0.43 / yr $7M
Heat Wave Very Low 1.44 / yr $184K
Lightning Low 20.53 / yr $125K
Drought Very Low 24.23 / yr $8K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.24 / yr $75K
Hail Very Low 0.39 / yr $31K
Tornado Very Low 0.03 / yr $7K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Lake County?

Lake County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 67.7 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 68th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Lake County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Winter Weather (High, $532K EAL), Wildfire (Medium, $2M EAL), Earthquake (Medium, $7M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Lake County compare to other Montana counties?

Lake County ranks #8 of 56 Montana counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Lake County's $23M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.