Phillips County

Montana — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

34.5

National percentile: 35th

Phillips County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 34.5, 35th national percentile), driven primarily by cold wave and winter weather exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $8M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $8M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 4K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Cold Wave
Medium $4M/yr
Winter Weather
Medium $86K/yr
Wildfire
Low $103K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Cold Wave Medium 14.32 / yr $4M
Winter Weather Medium 17.79 / yr $86K
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $103K
Lightning Medium 25.61 / yr $282K
Landslide Very Low 1.56 / yr $607
Riverine Flood Low 1.75 / yr $3M
Drought Very Low 58.75 / yr $13K
Hail Very Low 0.92 / yr $70K
Heat Wave Very Low 2.51 / yr $46K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $11K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.90 / yr $44K
Tornado Very Low 0.30 / yr $29K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr $3K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $1
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Phillips County?

Phillips County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 34.5 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 35th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Phillips County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Cold Wave (Medium, $4M EAL), Winter Weather (Medium, $86K EAL), Wildfire (Low, $103K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Phillips County compare to other Montana counties?

Phillips County ranks #28 of 56 Montana counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Phillips County's $8M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.