Pondera County

Montana — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

24.6

National percentile: 25th

Pondera County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 24.6, 25th national percentile), driven primarily by cold wave and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $5M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $5M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 6K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Cold Wave
Medium $3M/yr
Wildfire
Low $112K/yr
Winter Weather
Medium $70K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Cold Wave Medium 8.97 / yr $3M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $112K
Winter Weather Medium 33.74 / yr $70K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $188K
Drought Low 64.85 / yr $62K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.29 / yr $2M
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $55
Landslide Very Low 0.46 / yr $66
Lightning Very Low 18.56 / yr $36K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.52 / yr $81K
Hail Very Low 0.69 / yr $28K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.74 / yr $19K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr $1K
Tornado Very Low 0.04 / yr $10K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Pondera County?

Pondera County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 24.6 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 25th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Pondera County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Cold Wave (Medium, $3M EAL), Wildfire (Low, $112K EAL), Winter Weather (Medium, $70K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Pondera County compare to other Montana counties?

Pondera County ranks #29 of 56 Montana counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Pondera County's $5M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.