Cibola County
New Mexico — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 58th
Cibola County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 58.4, 58th national percentile), driven primarily by lightning and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $11M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Lightning | High | 60.60 / yr | $769K |
| Landslide | Low | 1.16 / yr | $15K |
| Wildfire | Low | 0.00 / yr | $332K |
| Winter Weather | Medium | 14.53 / yr | $113K |
| Riverine Flood | Medium | 0.93 / yr | $9M |
| Earthquake | Low | 0.00 / yr | $475K |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $54 |
| Cold Wave | Low | 0.05 / yr | $996K |
| Drought | Very Low | 78.04 / yr | $8K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.01 / yr | $35 |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 0.44 / yr | $45K |
| Hail | Very Low | 0.18 / yr | $42K |
| Tornado | Very Low | 0.11 / yr | $31K |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 0.01 / yr | $2K |
| Strong Wind | Very Low | 0.11 / yr | $27K |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Cibola County?
Cibola County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 58.4 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 58th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Cibola County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Lightning (High, $769K EAL), Landslide (Low, $15K EAL), Wildfire (Low, $332K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Cibola County compare to other New Mexico counties?
Cibola County ranks #21 of 33 New Mexico counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Cibola County's $11M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.