Ashtabula County

Ohio — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

62.6

National percentile: 63th

Ashtabula County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 62.6, 63th national percentile), driven primarily by winter weather and strong wind exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $19M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $19M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 98K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Winter Weather
High $319K/yr
Strong Wind
High $1M/yr
Tornado
Medium $3M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Winter Weather High 25.05 / yr $319K
Strong Wind High 1.61 / yr $1M
Tornado Medium 0.36 / yr $3M
Riverine Flood Low 1.50 / yr $12M
Hail Low 2.97 / yr $458K
Ice Storm Medium 1.24 / yr $176K
Lightning Medium 38.65 / yr $315K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $303K
Hurricane Very Low 0.03 / yr $77K
Heat Wave Low 1.28 / yr $332K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $17K
Cold Wave Low 3.15 / yr $439K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.01 / yr $3K
Landslide Very Low 0.13 / yr $123
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Ashtabula County?

Ashtabula County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 62.6 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 63th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Ashtabula County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Winter Weather (High, $319K EAL), Strong Wind (High, $1M EAL), Tornado (Medium, $3M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Ashtabula County compare to other Ohio counties?

Ashtabula County ranks #35 of 88 Ohio counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Ashtabula County's $19M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.