Erie County
Ohio — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 61th
Erie County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 61.4, 61th national percentile), driven primarily by winter weather and hail exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $21M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Winter Weather | Medium | 9.37 / yr | $236K |
| Hail | Medium | 3.44 / yr | $917K |
| Ice Storm | Medium | 0.60 / yr | $363K |
| Tornado | Medium | 0.26 / yr | $3M |
| Riverine Flood | Low | 2.07 / yr | $13M |
| Strong Wind | Medium | 2.55 / yr | $900K |
| Earthquake | Low | 0.00 / yr | $490K |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.02 / yr | $70K |
| Cold Wave | Low | 4.26 / yr | $874K |
| Coastal Flood | Low | 0.01 / yr | $61K |
| Lightning | Low | 38.96 / yr | $187K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 0.05 / yr | $614 |
| Heat Wave | Low | 2.42 / yr | $212K |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $9K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Drought | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Erie County?
Erie County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 61.4 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 61th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Erie County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Winter Weather (Medium, $236K EAL), Hail (Medium, $917K EAL), Ice Storm (Medium, $363K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Erie County compare to other Ohio counties?
Erie County ranks #37 of 88 Ohio counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Erie County's $21M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.