Lycoming County
Pennsylvania — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 80th
Lycoming County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 79.6, 80th national percentile), driven primarily by riverine flood and winter weather exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $41M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Riverine Flood | Medium | 1.89 / yr | $35M |
| Winter Weather | High | 13.87 / yr | $375K |
| Strong Wind | High | 2.39 / yr | $2M |
| Landslide | Low | 1.53 / yr | $24K |
| Avalanche | Low | 0.01 / yr | $16K |
| Hurricane | Low | 0.04 / yr | $986K |
| Lightning | Medium | 32.77 / yr | $472K |
| Heat Wave | Low | 1.51 / yr | $421K |
| Tornado | Low | 0.39 / yr | $1M |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $250K |
| Cold Wave | Low | 2.82 / yr | $480K |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $12K |
| Hail | Very Low | 1.42 / yr | $58K |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 0.05 / yr | $6K |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Drought | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Lycoming County?
Lycoming County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 79.6 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 80th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Lycoming County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Riverine Flood (Medium, $35M EAL), Winter Weather (High, $375K EAL), Strong Wind (High, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Lycoming County compare to other Pennsylvania counties?
Lycoming County ranks #23 of 67 Pennsylvania counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Lycoming County's $41M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.