Tioga County

Pennsylvania — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

59.8

National percentile: 60th

Tioga County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 59.8, 60th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and riverine flood exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $19M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $19M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 41K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
Low $18K/yr
Riverine Flood
Medium $16M/yr
Winter Weather
Medium $150K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Low 1.37 / yr $18K
Riverine Flood Medium 1.32 / yr $16M
Winter Weather Medium 15.47 / yr $150K
Hurricane Low 0.04 / yr $620K
Avalanche Low 0.01 / yr $4K
Lightning Medium 30.89 / yr $281K
Strong Wind Medium 1.81 / yr $558K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $75K
Ice Storm Low 0.19 / yr $28K
Tornado Very Low 0.28 / yr $296K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $7K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.68 / yr $36K
Cold Wave Very Low 3.74 / yr $127K
Hail Very Low 1.47 / yr $38K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Tioga County?

Tioga County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 59.8 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 60th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Tioga County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Low, $18K EAL), Riverine Flood (Medium, $16M EAL), Winter Weather (Medium, $150K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Tioga County compare to other Pennsylvania counties?

Tioga County ranks #45 of 67 Pennsylvania counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Tioga County's $19M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.