Carter County

Tennessee — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

63.2

National percentile: 63th

Carter County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 63.2, 63th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and strong wind exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $16M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $16M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 56K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
Medium $50K/yr
Strong Wind
High $1M/yr
Riverine Flood
Medium $12M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Medium 1.02 / yr $50K
Strong Wind High 2.87 / yr $1M
Riverine Flood Medium 0.96 / yr $12M
Lightning Medium 50.58 / yr $352K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $568K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $61K
Ice Storm Low 0.48 / yr $89K
Cold Wave Low 2.34 / yr $772K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $61K
Tornado Low 0.08 / yr $735K
Winter Weather Low 13.23 / yr $27K
Drought Low 20.37 / yr $23K
Hail Very Low 3.67 / yr $59K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.05 / yr $21K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Carter County?

Carter County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 63.2 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 63th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Carter County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Medium, $50K EAL), Strong Wind (High, $1M EAL), Riverine Flood (Medium, $12M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Carter County compare to other Tennessee counties?

Carter County ranks #36 of 95 Tennessee counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Carter County's $16M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.