Coffee County

Tennessee — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

63.5

National percentile: 64th

Coffee County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 63.5, 64th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and tornado exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $23M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $23M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 58K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Earthquake
Low $3M/yr
Tornado
Medium $6M/yr
Cold Wave
Medium $4M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $3M
Tornado Medium 0.36 / yr $6M
Cold Wave Medium 1.11 / yr $4M
Winter Weather Medium 5.21 / yr $180K
Drought Medium 21.90 / yr $501K
Strong Wind Medium 5.91 / yr $933K
Ice Storm Low 0.71 / yr $128K
Hail Low 3.82 / yr $340K
Riverine Flood Low 1.29 / yr $8M
Hurricane Very Low 0.03 / yr $85K
Lightning Low 60.27 / yr $236K
Heat Wave Very Low 2.47 / yr $193K
Landslide Very Low 0.20 / yr $167
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $4K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Coffee County?

Coffee County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 63.5 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 64th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Coffee County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (Low, $3M EAL), Tornado (Medium, $6M EAL), Cold Wave (Medium, $4M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Coffee County compare to other Tennessee counties?

Coffee County ranks #34 of 95 Tennessee counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Coffee County's $23M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.