Haywood County

Tennessee — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

64.7

National percentile: 65th

Haywood County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 64.7, 65th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and cold wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $16M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $16M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 18K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Earthquake
Medium $9M/yr
Cold Wave
Medium $2M/yr
Heat Wave
Low $587K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Earthquake Medium 0.01 / yr $9M
Cold Wave Medium 1.89 / yr $2M
Heat Wave Low 15.79 / yr $587K
Tornado Medium 0.38 / yr $2M
Drought Medium 8.52 / yr $268K
Ice Storm Medium 0.77 / yr $108K
Hurricane Very Low 0.03 / yr $94K
Lightning Low 58.11 / yr $175K
Winter Weather Low 5.84 / yr $32K
Landslide Very Low 0.37 / yr $396
Strong Wind Low 1.46 / yr $196K
Riverine Flood Very Low 1.00 / yr $2M
Hail Very Low 3.17 / yr $41K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $2K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Haywood County?

Haywood County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 64.7 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 65th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Haywood County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (Medium, $9M EAL), Cold Wave (Medium, $2M EAL), Heat Wave (Low, $587K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Haywood County compare to other Tennessee counties?

Haywood County ranks #33 of 95 Tennessee counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Haywood County's $16M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.