Van Buren County

Tennessee — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

2.7

National percentile: 3th

Van Buren County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 2.7, 3th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $3M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $3M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 6K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
Low $4K/yr
Wildfire
Very Low $23K/yr
Cold Wave
Low $555K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Low 0.54 / yr $4K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $23K
Cold Wave Low 1.16 / yr $555K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $107K
Tornado Low 0.18 / yr $468K
Drought Very Low 20.99 / yr $18K
Winter Weather Low 7.58 / yr $27K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $6K
Strong Wind Very Low 5.05 / yr $148K
Lightning Very Low 60.07 / yr $54K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.60 / yr $7K
Hail Very Low 3.37 / yr $25K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.57 / yr $1M
Heat Wave Very Low 0.16 / yr $2K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Van Buren County?

Van Buren County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 2.7 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 3th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Van Buren County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Low, $4K EAL), Wildfire (Very Low, $23K EAL), Cold Wave (Low, $555K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Van Buren County compare to other Tennessee counties?

Van Buren County ranks #95 of 95 Tennessee counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Van Buren County's $3M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.