Clay County

Texas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

14.3

National percentile: 14th

Clay County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 14.3, 14th national percentile), driven primarily by wildfire and drought exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $6M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $6M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 10K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Wildfire
Low $979K/yr
Drought
Medium $477K/yr
Hail
Low $293K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Wildfire Low 0.01 / yr $979K
Drought Medium 73.13 / yr $477K
Hail Low 9.06 / yr $293K
Tornado Low 0.87 / yr $1M
Heat Wave Low 16.42 / yr $290K
Ice Storm Low 0.94 / yr $48K
Strong Wind Low 3.36 / yr $317K
Landslide Very Low 0.13 / yr $276
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $11K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $45K
Winter Weather Very Low 6.47 / yr $16K
Cold Wave Very Low 1.11 / yr $198K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.46 / yr $2M
Lightning Very Low 51.58 / yr $14K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Clay County?

Clay County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 14.3 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 14th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Clay County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Wildfire (Low, $979K EAL), Drought (Medium, $477K EAL), Hail (Low, $293K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Clay County compare to other Texas counties?

Clay County ranks #203 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Clay County's $6M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.