Gray County

Texas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

59.9

National percentile: 60th

Gray County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 59.9, 60th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $18M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $18M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 21K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Drought
High $4M/yr
Wildfire
Medium $2M/yr
Hail
Medium $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought High 74.77 / yr $4M
Wildfire Medium 0.01 / yr $2M
Hail Medium 8.64 / yr $2M
Winter Weather High 9.79 / yr $350K
Ice Storm Medium 0.44 / yr $326K
Tornado Medium 0.87 / yr $3M
Cold Wave Medium 2.42 / yr $3M
Strong Wind Medium 3.13 / yr $984K
Lightning Medium 48.78 / yr $503K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $189K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $10K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.50 / yr $3M
Heat Wave Very Low 1.53 / yr $73K
Landslide Very Low 0.18 / yr $5
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Gray County?

Gray County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 59.9 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 60th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Gray County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (High, $4M EAL), Wildfire (Medium, $2M EAL), Hail (Medium, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Gray County compare to other Texas counties?

Gray County ranks #109 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Gray County's $18M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.