Hartley County

Texas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

33.1

National percentile: 33th

Hartley County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 33.1, 33th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and cold wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $14M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $14M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 5K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Drought
High $6M/yr
Cold Wave
Medium $4M/yr
Winter Weather
Medium $181K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought High 129.97 / yr $6M
Cold Wave Medium 2.85 / yr $4M
Winter Weather Medium 11.23 / yr $181K
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $246K
Hail Low 5.26 / yr $727K
Strong Wind Medium 2.10 / yr $1M
Lightning Low 46.60 / yr $179K
Tornado Low 0.66 / yr $527K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $59K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.20 / yr $22K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.95 / yr $13K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.29 / yr $960K
Landslide Very Low 0.19 / yr $4
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Hartley County?

Hartley County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 33.1 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 33th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Hartley County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (High, $6M EAL), Cold Wave (Medium, $4M EAL), Winter Weather (Medium, $181K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Hartley County compare to other Texas counties?

Hartley County ranks #163 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Hartley County's $14M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.