Lincoln County

Oklahoma — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

71.3

National percentile: 71th

Lincoln County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 71.3, 71th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $20M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $20M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 33K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Ice Storm
High $834K/yr
Wildfire
Medium $1M/yr
Hail
Medium $1M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Ice Storm High 1.10 / yr $834K
Wildfire Medium 0.01 / yr $1M
Hail Medium 11.43 / yr $1M
Cold Wave High 1.74 / yr $4M
Tornado Medium 1.22 / yr $4M
Drought Medium 28.48 / yr $980K
Heat Wave Medium 19.53 / yr $2M
Winter Weather Medium 8.79 / yr $111K
Landslide Low 0.29 / yr $4K
Riverine Flood Low 0.93 / yr $5M
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $185K
Lightning Low 52.47 / yr $124K
Strong Wind Low 6.63 / yr $232K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $4K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Lincoln County?

Lincoln County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 71.3 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 71th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Lincoln County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (High, $834K EAL), Wildfire (Medium, $1M EAL), Hail (Medium, $1M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Lincoln County compare to other Oklahoma counties?

Lincoln County ranks #30 of 77 Oklahoma counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Lincoln County's $20M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.