McIntosh County

Oklahoma — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

65.8

National percentile: 66th

McIntosh County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 65.8, 66th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and ice storm exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $14M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $14M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 19K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Drought
High $1M/yr
Ice Storm
High $695K/yr
Wildfire
Medium $848K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought High 24.77 / yr $1M
Ice Storm High 1.43 / yr $695K
Wildfire Medium 0.01 / yr $848K
Heat Wave Medium 25.95 / yr $2M
Hail Medium 8.00 / yr $680K
Lightning High 56.75 / yr $498K
Tornado Medium 0.77 / yr $2M
Winter Weather Medium 7.05 / yr $61K
Landslide Low 0.17 / yr $2K
Riverine Flood Low 1.46 / yr $5M
Cold Wave Low 1.11 / yr $622K
Strong Wind Medium 5.35 / yr $325K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $167K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $22K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for McIntosh County?

McIntosh County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 65.8 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 66th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in McIntosh County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (High, $1M EAL), Ice Storm (High, $695K EAL), Wildfire (Medium, $848K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does McIntosh County compare to other Oklahoma counties?

McIntosh County ranks #32 of 77 Oklahoma counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. McIntosh County's $14M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.