Dane County

Wisconsin — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

93.9

National percentile: 94th

Dane County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 93.9, 94th national percentile), driven primarily by cold wave and hail exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $182M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $182M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 561K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Cold Wave
Very High $44M/yr
Hail
High $13M/yr
Tornado
High $26M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Cold Wave Very High 5.74 / yr $44M
Hail High 3.78 / yr $13M
Tornado High 0.93 / yr $26M
Heat Wave Medium 3.53 / yr $8M
Riverine Flood High 2.07 / yr $84M
Winter Weather High 16.11 / yr $710K
Strong Wind High 4.40 / yr $3M
Lightning High 37.12 / yr $2M
Landslide Medium 0.45 / yr $67K
Ice Storm High 0.62 / yr $680K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $1M
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $105K
Drought Low 3.44 / yr $81K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $17K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Dane County?

Dane County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 93.9 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 94th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Dane County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Cold Wave (Very High, $44M EAL), Hail (High, $13M EAL), Tornado (High, $26M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Dane County compare to other Wisconsin counties?

Dane County ranks #2 of 72 Wisconsin counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Dane County's $182M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.