Drought Risk by State & County
Ranked by FEMA National Risk Index drought hazard score · code DRGT
Drought risk reflects extended dry periods that stress water supplies and agriculture. FEMA's National Risk Index scores each county's drought hazard from its expected annual loss, annualized event frequency, and exposed population. Fresno County, California currently leads the nation with a drought score of 100.0 and $223M in expected annual loss. California, Texas, Mississippi account for much of the highest-rated drought risk in this dataset.
Read the full drought risk guide — how FEMA scores it and how to prepare →
Drought Risk by State
| # | State | Expected Ann. Loss | Avg. Score | Rating | Counties Rated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | California | $1B | High | 58 of 58 | |
| 2 | Texas | $411M | High | 254 of 254 | |
| 3 | Iowa | $223M | Very High | 99 of 99 | |
| 4 | Nebraska | $103M | High | 93 of 93 | |
| 5 | Kansas | $101M | High | 105 of 105 | |
| 6 | Oklahoma | $96M | Very High | 77 of 77 | |
| 7 | Illinois | $83M | High | 102 of 102 | |
| 8 | Virginia | $76M | Medium | 133 of 133 | |
| 9 | Georgia | $55M | Medium | 159 of 159 | |
| 10 | Louisiana | $53M | High | 64 of 64 | |
| 11 | Missouri | $47M | Medium | 115 of 115 | |
| 12 | New Mexico | $43M | High | 33 of 33 | |
| 13 | Mississippi | $39M | High | 82 of 82 | |
| 14 | Minnesota | $34M | Medium | 87 of 87 | |
| 15 | North Carolina | $29M | Medium | 100 of 100 | |
| 16 | South Dakota | $27M | Medium | 66 of 66 | |
| 17 | Arkansas | $27M | Medium | 75 of 75 | |
| 18 | Maryland | $25M | High | 24 of 24 | |
| 19 | Colorado | $22M | Medium | 64 of 64 | |
| 20 | Indiana | $21M | Medium | 92 of 92 | |
| 21 | Pennsylvania | $21M | Very Low | 67 of 67 | |
| 22 | Alabama | $17M | Medium | 67 of 67 | |
| 23 | Kentucky | $16M | Low | 120 of 120 | |
| 24 | Tennessee | $12M | Medium | 95 of 95 | |
| 25 | New Jersey | $11M | High | 21 of 21 | |
| 26 | Arizona | $11M | Medium | 15 of 15 | |
| 27 | Florida | $11M | Low | 67 of 67 | |
| 28 | Ohio | $11M | Low | 88 of 88 | |
| 29 | Massachusetts | $6M | Medium | 14 of 14 | |
| 30 | South Carolina | $6M | Medium | 46 of 46 | |
| 31 | New York | $6M | Low | 62 of 62 | |
| 32 | Nevada | $6M | Medium | 17 of 17 | |
| 33 | Utah | $5M | Medium | 29 of 29 | |
| 34 | Maine | $4M | Medium | 16 of 16 | |
| 35 | Delaware | $4M | Very High | 3 of 3 | |
| 36 | West Virginia | $3M | Low | 55 of 55 | |
| 37 | Wisconsin | $3M | Low | 72 of 72 | |
| 38 | New Hampshire | $2M | Low | 10 of 10 | |
| 39 | Montana | $1M | Low | 56 of 56 | |
| 40 | North Dakota | $1M | Low | 53 of 53 | |
| 41 | Oregon | $965K | Very Low | 36 of 36 | |
| 42 | Connecticut | $727K | Low | 9 of 9 | |
| 43 | Michigan | $668K | Very Low | 83 of 83 | |
| 44 | Wyoming | $503K | Low | 23 of 23 | |
| 45 | Rhode Island | $271K | Low | 5 of 5 | |
| 46 | Idaho | $142K | Very Low | 44 of 44 | |
| 47 | Washington | $125K | Very Low | 39 of 39 | |
| 48 | Hawaii | $37K | Very Low | 5 of 5 | |
| 49 | District of Columbia | $0 | Very Low | 1 of 1 | |
| 50 | Vermont | $0 | Very Low | 14 of 14 | |
| 51 | Alaska | $0 | Very Low | 30 of 30 |
States ranked by total expected annual drought losses; the average score is the mean over all counties, counting unrated counties as zero.
Riskiest Counties for Drought
| # | County | State | Drought Score | Rating | Ann. Freq. | Ann. Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fresno County | CA | Very High | 88.24 / yr | $223M | |
| 2 | Monterey County | CA | Very High | 94.43 / yr | $81M | |
| 3 | San Joaquin County | CA | Very High | 68.55 / yr | $83M | |
| 4 | Merced County | CA | Very High | 74.16 / yr | $70M | |
| 5 | Madera County | CA | Very High | 84.81 / yr | $63M | |
| 6 | Santa Barbara County | CA | Very High | 83.14 / yr | $65M | |
| 7 | Stanislaus County | CA | Very High | 73.59 / yr | $71M | |
| 8 | Lubbock County | TX | Very High | 76.01 / yr | $62M | |
| 9 | Butte County | CA | Very High | 66.57 / yr | $26M | |
| 10 | Kings County | CA | Very High | 76.77 / yr | $34M | |
| 11 | Parmer County | TX | Very High | 100.13 / yr | $43M | |
| 12 | Colusa County | CA | Very High | 84.37 / yr | $29M | |
| 13 | San Luis Obispo County | CA | Very High | 89.59 / yr | $29M | |
| 14 | Yolo County | CA | Very High | 75.35 / yr | $29M | |
| 15 | Sutter County | CA | Very High | 64.85 / yr | $21M | |
| 16 | Napa County | CA | Very High | 60.05 / yr | $21M | |
| 17 | Warren County | MS | Very High | 14.46 / yr | $15M | |
| 18 | Glenn County | CA | High | 85.27 / yr | $21M | |
| 19 | Sacramento County | CA | High | 62.96 / yr | $14M | |
| 20 | Santa Cruz County | CA | High | 38.24 / yr | $18M | |
| 21 | Doña Ana County | NM | High | 73.79 / yr | $11M | |
| 22 | Sonoma County | CA | High | 33.50 / yr | $14M | |
| 23 | Solano County | CA | High | 67.40 / yr | $12M | |
| 24 | Cimarron County | OK | High | 151.01 / yr | $7M | |
| 25 | Santa Clara County | CA | High | 63.64 / yr | $11M |
Showing the top 25 seeded counties for drought risk.